Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.490209 1.701399 1.931808 2.201856 2.509732 2.849863 3.254247
2025-01-19 1.115200 1.390003 1.716731 2.133902 2.652673 3.277005 4.086265
2025-01-26 0.991225 1.312490 1.717767 2.266712 2.991498 3.916796 5.189885
2025-02-02 0.906337 1.261121 1.730960 2.398961 3.325394 4.566822 6.360639
2025-02-09 0.830041 1.205767 1.724758 2.494364 3.608265 5.165011 7.512271
2025-02-16 0.752715 1.136412 1.686797 2.534317 3.808809 5.658367 8.555583
2025-02-23 0.666424 1.042180 1.600063 2.489234 3.873893 5.953664 9.327089
2025-03-02 0.600260 0.969827 1.536315 2.468484 3.967866 6.292915 10.188099
2025-03-09 0.550712 0.917331 1.496321 2.477947 4.105433 6.705541 11.195361
2025-03-16 0.507710 0.870385 1.459492 2.486814 4.239431 7.119363 12.236452
2025-03-23 0.472913 0.833172 1.434197 2.510716 4.397770 7.582568 13.396940
2025-03-30 0.428940 0.775614 1.368872 2.458913 4.419701 7.814245 14.173853
2025-04-06 0.387832 0.719874 1.302822 2.401749 4.430615 8.034145 14.963305
2025-04-13 0.348446 0.663465 1.230484 2.326435 4.401739 8.180893 15.634456
2025-04-20 0.344221 0.671744 1.275618 2.471305 4.791544 9.119739 17.867856
2025-04-27 0.339668 0.678771 1.318666 2.615512 5.192143 10.111609 20.292634
2025-05-04 0.330074 0.674891 1.340306 2.719543 5.523075 10.997280 22.588168
2025-05-11 0.314110 0.656650 1.332154 2.763109 5.736666 11.670392 24.515229
2025-05-18 0.289565 0.618479 1.280871 2.713949 5.756265 11.956332 25.668485
2025-05-25 0.269981 0.588818 1.244149 2.691323 5.828094 12.352831 27.087019
2025-06-01 0.255247 0.568099 1.224013 2.701641 5.969824 12.904555 28.885390
2025-06-08 0.241616 0.548512 1.204499 2.711310 6.110386 13.464197 30.749338
2025-06-15 0.230402 0.533263 1.192968 2.737374 6.288995 14.119885 32.885612